2011年以来巴萨、皇马、马竞主教练更迭统计分析(2011年至今巴萨、皇马与马竞主帅更迭数据解析)
发布时间:2026-01-02

Calculating trophy counts

Barce

Let's break down the trophies: there are six Copa titles since the 2011-12 season, but Valencia won the 2019 Copa. For Supercopa, they won four: 2011, 2013, 2016, and 2018. Barcelona won the 2023 Supercopa as noted. In Europe, they secured three titles: the 2015 UCL, UEFA Super Cup, and Club World Cup. Altogether, that’s 20 major trophies. I might have minor inaccuracies, but focusing on managerial stability might be more relevant than exact counts.Analyzing Real Madrid's achievements

The question mentioned "更迭统计分析," which suggests analyzing managerial stability rather than just trophy counts. However, I can relate the two. Since 2011, Real Madrid has won five La Liga titles, including 2023-24. They also won three Copa del Rey titles, starting from 2011. For Supercopa, I'd say they total about six since 2012. They've secured six Champions Leagues and four UEFA Super Cups, along with five Club World Cups. That's quite a lot!Summarizing Atlético Madrid's achievements and manager changes

I think I should focus on summarizing Atlético Madrid's achievements without getting too bogged down in exact counts. Since 2011, they've secured two La Liga titles, a Copa del Rey, a Supercopa, and several Europa League and UEFA Super Cup titles, totaling eight major trophies under Simeone. The question centers on manager changes, so I’ll layout a methodology for counting head coaches, excluding caretakers unless they've managed a significant number of matches. I'll create a simple bullet list for clarity, including manager names and tenures.Organizing managerial metrics and insights

I'll organize the metrics into clear bullets. First, I’ll compute important metrics like the number of manager changes, total head coach stints (including returning coaches), average tenures in months, and turnover since 2011 for each season. The insights show that Atlético is stable due to Simeone, while Madrid experienced moderate turnover but still claimed the most European trophies. Barcelona had a turbulent period from 2020 to 2024, changing managers frequently due to instability. I might include a simple ASCII timeline for clarity, focusing on conciseness.

以下统计基于公开赛季资料,口径与时间范围见首条。若需导出为表格/图表或补齐到最新赛季,请告诉我。

统计口径

  • 时间:2011-01 至 2024-10(我所知范围);按自然任命/解任时间计月数
  • 对象:一线队“正式主教练”的任期;同一人回归计为新的任期
  • 处理:1–2场纯看守不计;索拉里因获正式合同计入

总体对比(2011—2024)

  • 巴萨:更迭 8 次;任期数 8;平均 18.4 月;中位数 13.5 月;最短 4 月;最长 37 月
  • 皇马:更迭 7 次;任期数 7;平均 19.0 月;中位数 23 月;最短 4 月;最长 40 月(进行中)
  • 马竞:更迭 1 次;任期数 2;平均 80 月;中位数 80 月;最短 6 月;最长 154 月(进行中)
  • 赛季平均更换(约 13 个完整赛季):巴萨 0.62/季;皇马 0.54/季;马竞 0.08/季

巴萨主帅更迭与任期

  • 蒂托·比拉诺瓦 2012.06–2013.07(≈13 月)
  • 赫拉尔多·“塔塔”·马蒂诺 2013.07–2014.05(≈10 月)
  • 路易斯·恩里克 2014.05–2017.06(≈37 月,期内最稳)
  • 埃内斯托·巴尔韦德 2017.05–2020.01(≈32 月)
  • 奎克·塞蒂恩 2020.01–2020.08(≈7 月)
  • 罗纳德·科曼 2020.08–2021.10(≈14 月)
  • 哈维 2021.11–2024.05(≈30 月)
  • 汉斯·弗里克 2024.05–(至 2024.10 ≈4 月)
  • 特点:2017–2024 明显加速更迭(4 年 4 任),任期中位数仅 ~1.1 年

皇马主帅更迭与任期

  • 卡洛·安切洛蒂(1)2013.06–2015.05(≈23 月)
  • 拉法·贝尼特斯 2015.06–2016.01(≈7 月)
  • 齐达内(1)2016.01–2018.05(≈28 月)
  • 胡伦·洛佩特吉 2018.06–2018.10(≈4 月)
  • 圣地亚哥·索拉里 2018.10–2019.03(≈5 月)
  • 齐达内(2)2019.03–2021.05(≈26 月)
  • 卡洛·安切洛蒂(2)2021.06–(至 2024.10 ≈40 月)
  • 特点:2018–2019 集中震荡(短任三连),其余由两次齐达内与安切洛蒂两周期“锚定”

马竞主帅更迭与任期

巴萨

  • 格雷戈里奥·曼萨诺 2011.06–2011.12(≈6 月)
  • 迭戈·西蒙尼 2011.12–(至 2024.10 ≈154 月,>12.8 年)
  • 特点:2011 年冬后未再更换,五大联赛顶级稳定样本

关键观察

  • 稳定性梯度:马竞(极稳) > 皇马(两段式稳定,间歇震荡) > 巴萨(2017 后高频波动)
  • “短任”风险窗:巴萨(2020–2021)、皇马(2018–2019)出现连续短任,常伴随高压赛程与阵痛期
  • 回归策略:皇马善用“回归/二次任命”(齐达内、安切洛蒂)构建中期稳定;巴萨近年暂无类似成功范式
  • 任期结构:巴萨平均与中位数均低于皇马,说明不仅均值更短,且整体分布偏短;马竞被西蒙尼长任显著拉高
  • 绩效关联(简述):皇马在更迭不算少的前提下,依靠长周期主帅(齐祖/安帅)集中拿到欧冠与联赛;巴萨在路易斯·恩里克与巴尔韦德阶段产出最高;马竞以超长期稳定换来明确风格与周期性联赛冲冠

更迭时间轴(年份)

  • 巴萨:2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2020×2, 2021, 2024
  • 皇马:2013, 2015, 2016, 2018×2, 2019, 2021
  • 马竞:2011(12 月后稳定至今)

需要我把上述数据整理成 CSV/Excel、补充奖杯维度对齐到每任期,或画出按月连续时间轴图吗?